The Lab
Hypothesis Validation & Stress Testing
The Oracle
Current Configuration:
- 1,000 Iterations
- 3 Properties Included
- 80 Active Events
Risk Level
Insolvency Prob:49.8%
Median Equity (10 Yrs)
The 50th percentile portfolio equity after 10 years across all simulations. Half of outcomes are better, half are worse.$5.2M
Risk-Adj Growth
Total equity growth divided by the volatility of outcomes. Higher = better returns per unit of risk (like a Sharpe ratio for your portfolio).203.9%
VaR (5% Worst Case)
Value at Risk: The 5th percentile equity outcome. 95% of simulations end above this value. Shows downside protection.$3,933,537
Envelope of Uncertainty (Equity)
5-95% Range
25-75% Range
Median
Insolvency Risk
Hypothetical Performance Disclosure: All simulations and projections are hypothetical scenarios for illustrative purposes only.Methodology: Monte Carlo simulations use user-defined assumptions and historical data distributions.Limitations: Models cannot account for all real-world variables including market disruptions, regulatory changes, or property-specific factors.Uncertainty: All projections involve significant uncertainty—actual results will vary materially. This tool includes general tax modeling based on common assumptions. It is not tax advice. Consult a licensed tax professional.